Four different scenarios discussing how artificial intelligence could threaten humanity
As experts evaluate risks that may emerge in the next decade, attention is drawn to dangers such as infrastructure attacks and the robot economy.
While the possibility of artificial intelligence wiping out humanity within the next decade is being debated, researchers are focusing on four main doomsday scenarios: infrastructure attacks, the robot economy, goal prioritization errors, and unknown risks.
Pessimistic predictions for artificial intelligence
Some of the most pessimistic recent predictions suggest that the probability of artificial intelligence destroying all humanity within the next decade is greater than 10 percent.
Risk of critical infrastructure attack
Researchers warn that artificial intelligence could infiltrate critical infrastructure such as electricity and internet providers, creating large-scale chaos.
Takeover of the robot economy
Some published reports suggest that artificial intelligence could completely take over the robot economy, resulting in the extinction of most of humanity.
Paperclip maximizer thought experiment
The hypothesis is defended that a superintelligent system focused on a single goal, even if not malicious, could destroy humanity in pursuit of instrumental subgoals.
Unknown risks and unpredictability
It is stated that, just as chimpanzees cannot fully understand humans, humans cannot anticipate the moves of an entity much more intelligent than themselves.
Danger of malicious use
Some scientists emphasize that artificial intelligence may not bring direct extinction, but could be used as a weapon by humans against other people.