Bank of Japan Raises Interest Rates to 1.25%

Serdar HocamAuthor & Editor

While the Bank of Japan's rate hike to 1.25% was priced in by the markets, the yen depreciated due to the Fed's hawkish stance.

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The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 1.25%, the highest level in over thirty years. The yen depreciated due to the decision being priced in advance and the Fed's hawkish policies.

Interest Rate Hike and Market Reaction

The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 1.25%, the highest level in over thirty years. However, the market's initial reaction was to sell the yen because the decision had been signaled in advance.

Impact of the Fed and Global Conditions

In the US, the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance has raised the global interest rate bar. This situation increased question marks regarding the pace of the BoJ's tightening, creating new pressure on the yen.

Inflation Expectations and Hawkish Tone

While medium and long-term inflation expectations are rising, CPI inflation is expected to exceed the 2 percent level in the second half of the 2026 fiscal year. Real interest rates, meanwhile, continue to remain low.

Divergences within the Board

The decision was adopted with a 7-2 vote, with Toichiro Asada and Ayano Sato dissenting against the rate hike. The two members argued that the economy did not exhibit enough strength to justify a new move.