Global Economy Continues to Grow Along Axis of Contrasting Trends
The global economy is undergoing a dual-track process between supply pressures created by rising energy and commodity prices and growth momentum provided by artificial intelligence investments.
According to assessments by international institutions, the global economy continues to maintain its growth momentum thanks to technology and artificial intelligence investments, while showing resilience against supply shocks in the energy market and geopolitical risks.
Supply Shocks and Energy Pressure
The global economy is currently grappling with supply shocks triggered by rising energy and commodity prices. This situation creates a distinct pressure on economic activity and inflation.
Institutions such as the International Monetary Fund and S&P Global Market Intelligence point out that the sustained high level of Brent crude oil prices leads to volatility in commodity markets.
Artificial Intelligence and Technology Investments
The intensive investment cycle directed at technology, and particularly artificial intelligence, is pulling up demand and growth rates in many major economies. This technological activity is shaping economic dynamics.
According to the IMF, projects meeting the energy needs of data centers and artificial intelligence systems are directly triggering growth, especially in the US and countries within the technology supply chain.
Growth Forecasts of International Institutions
In its statement in early September 2026, the IMF projected that global economic growth would remain at around 3 percent this year. The OECD chose to update its 2026 global growth forecast to 2.9 percent.
Fitch Ratings raised its 2026 global GDP growth forecast to 2.6 percent, emphasizing that the artificial intelligence boom continues to strongly support the US economy.
Ongoing Risks and Uncertainties
Experts state that while the global economy exhibits a general resilience against shocks, the outlook harbors numerous risks. Dependence on imported energy increases these risks.
Warnings are issued that in the event of an escalation of conflicts, financial conditions could tighten and the pressure on fragile economies could reach dangerous dimensions.